Edward Tufte home page for books, posters, sculpture, fine art and one-day course: Presenting Data and Information
http://www.edwardtufte.com/bboard/q-and-a-fetch-msg?msg_id=0001et&topic_id=1&topic= - Nov 3, 2011 1:05:33 PM - Nov 30, 2004 4:10:12 AM
deformation professionelle is well enough captured in the popular adage, "If all you have is a hammer, ..."
;)Currently relevant, "If all you have is CO2 sensitivity, ..."
-- Brian Hall (email), February 24, 2011
"Posner on Blink" has moved (and lost all formatting) at TNR
New link for the Posner review of Blink that ET cited a few years ago here:
http://www.tnr.com/article/blinkered
-- Hank Roberts (email), April 4, 2010
BP oil spill recovery presentation
A BP vice president confusing integral and derivative here.
As the link explains,
"In a new video explaining the 'top kill' strategy, BP senior vice president Kent Wells shows this graphic for the amount of oil being captured from the Deepwater Horizon by the suction tube. Wells says that BP has been tweaking the tube to 'maximize' the collection of oil from the gushing well.
"'There's been a lot of questions around how much oil is being collected,' Well says at around 4:11, pointing to the graph. But if you look closely at the chart ... those green bars go up because the tube has been in place since May 16. The longer it stays, the more gallons it collects. It's not necessarily collecting more oil on successive days, let alone "most" of the oil as Wells says they're trying to do.
"Wells mentions some of the technical adjustments to the siphon, then says, 'Here you can see how we've continued to ramp up.' If only that were so.
"From commenter Brandon Green: 'Wow, if you look at the tapering off in the last few bars, it would seem the graph proves the exact opposite point they are trying to use it to make - that they are somehow managing to become LESS efficient at collecting the oil.'"
-- Anonymous (email), May 28, 2010
Dear ET,
here is a group at UCL who are asking some very interesting questions of inference and evidence;
http://128.40.111.250/evidence/index.asp
For example;
Is there a concept of evidence that applies universally? Are there specific or generic techniques for manipulating evidence that can be applied across disciplinary boundaries?
They also provide quite a bit of material on evidence in complex legal and/or forensic cases and use of Wigmore charts.
Best wishes
Matt
-- Matt R (email), August 23, 2010
Cherry-picking and more
Shankar Vedantam, "A Silenced Drug Study Creates An Uproar," Washington Post, March 18, 2009, here.
-- Edward Tufte, March 18, 2009
The New York Times, March 11, 2009: "In what may be among the longest-running and widest-ranging cases of academic fraud, one of the most prolific researchers in anesthesiology has admitted that he fabricated much of the data underlying his research." "The researcher...never conducted the clinical trials that he wrote about in 21 journal articles... ." Big pharma is mentioned... NYT home page search: "neuropathic pain medicines"
-- David (email), March 10, 2009